FINAL
2 Novak Djokovic vs 3 Danill Medvedev
Road to the final Summary
Novak Djokovic
Before the start of the tournament I wrote that irrespectoive of what happened in the rournament Djokovic will be the number 1 ranked player in the world because Alcaraz will lose 2000 ranking points as a result of the fact that he won the tournament as a 19 year=-old in 2022 and could only retain the points if he wins in the title again in 2023, while Djokovic will gain points in every round he played in.as a result of his absence from the tournament in 2022.
In further comments on the Draw I wrote at the time that the draw made things very easy for Djokovic to reach the final. In the Draw he was the number 2 seeded player with the the other 4 Top 10 seeded players being 4 Rune, 5 Tsitsipas, 9 Fritz and 10 Tiafoe. Aside from that the fact is that 11 of the 16 qualifiers were allocated to the bottom Half of the Draw - weakening that component further,
The result was that on rout to the final Djokovic played the following players:-
Round 1 - Alexandre Muller - Ranked 82
Round 2 - Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Ranked 75
Round 3 - Laslo Djere - Ranked 37
Round 4 - Borna Gojo - Ranked 96
Quarterfinal - Taylor Fritz - Ranked 9
Semifinal - Ben Shelton - Ranked 46
The easiest route ever to the semifinal in any major tournament, That leaves a major question mark as to Djokovic chance of winning the final.
Danill Mededev
Round 1 - Atilla Balazs - Unranked
Round 2 - Christopher O'Connell - Ranked 59
Round 3 - Sebastian Baez - Ranked 36
Round 4 - Alex de Minaur - Ranked 13
Quarterfinal - Andrey Rublev - Ranked 8
Semifinal - Carlos Alcaraz - Ranked 1 .
It was hard for Medvedev to get to the final - much harder than it was for Djokovic. So who is going to win in the final? Based on performances and the difficulty it was for Medvedev to reach the final I think Medvedev will win the final.
There wa already an uproar since the draw was NOT done in public - like it was in the past and in future it will not happen again.
clevermike
Hall Of Fame
53543 posts
I have ruined the main thread by reading in comments and it is not possible to add comments to the main thread so here are the following player combinations in the following:
SEMIFINALISTS
1 Carlos Alcaraz vs 3 Danill Medvedev
2 Novak Djokovic vs Ben Shelton
There was a massive difference between the level of tennis played by the quarterfinalists in the Top Half of the Draw and the tennis played by the quarterfinalists in the Bottom Half of the Draws, The players like Medvedev and Alcaraz had to fight for points all the way and that was in particular by the commentator on the match between Medvedev and Rublev the interviewer after the match referred to the fact by thanking both Medvedev and Rublev for playing spectacular tennis.
That makes Alcaraz the favorite to win in the final, In that regard I think that in the unlikely event that Medvedev beats Alcaraz in the semifinal he will be favored to beat his opponent in the final.